Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000388 0.000436 0.000487 0.000548 0.000617 0.000693 0.000783
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000304 0.000372 0.000454 0.000558 0.000690 0.000850 0.001061
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000239 0.000313 0.000406 0.000534 0.000707 0.000936 0.001262
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000206 0.000283 0.000386 0.000537 0.000754 0.001058 0.001524
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000188 0.000269 0.000385 0.000561 0.000830 0.001228 0.001877
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000164 0.000244 0.000361 0.000550 0.000849 0.001315 0.002116
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000141 0.000217 0.000331 0.000522 0.000839 0.001353 0.002279
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000130 0.000205 0.000324 0.000529 0.000882 0.001482 0.002612
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000124 0.000202 0.000328 0.000554 0.000960 0.001678 0.003096
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000112 0.000188 0.000314 0.000547 0.000977 0.001769 0.003398
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000105 0.000179 0.000307 0.000550 0.001016 0.001902 0.003803
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000096 0.000169 0.000296 0.000544 0.001035 0.002001 0.004152
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000162 0.000293 0.000554 0.001087 0.002177 0.004708
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000085 0.000156 0.000287 0.000559 0.001133 0.002347 0.005286
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000142 0.000268 0.000533 0.001110 0.002369 0.005528
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000136 0.000262 0.000536 0.001149 0.002532 0.006141
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000135 0.000267 0.000561 0.001239 0.002826 0.007144
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000127 0.000255 0.000549 0.001244 0.002920 0.007642
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000116 0.000238 0.000522 0.001210 0.002912 0.007858
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000113 0.000235 0.000528 0.001257 0.003118 0.008727
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000113 0.000241 0.000554 0.001356 0.003474 0.010119
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000107 0.000233 0.000546 0.001368 0.003598 0.010827
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000104 0.000229 0.000549 0.001411 0.003815 0.011885